TL;DR

Building our search tool raised three questions we could not answer one county at a time. Who is Affordable Housing built for, how much of it is really available in a region, and have the programs that pay for new housing kept up with an aging country? This runs one older adult on the average Social Security benefit against every income limit area in the 50 states and D.C., then groups the result by state. In 27 states and the District of Columbia, not one area at any affordability level leaves that income in the window. At the 60 percent level, where most new homes are financed, the floor sits above that income in 100 percent of areas. Move the floor from three times rent to two and a level opens in 96 percent of areas, with no new construction at all.

We built Between the Ceiling and the Floor for people looking for a home they can afford. Most of them are older adults. It explains Affordable Housing (capital A, capital H), also called income-restricted housing. It shows what a household qualifies for, and where to find it. Building it raised bigger questions than the tool could answer.

Who is Affordable Housing built for? How much of it is really available in a region? And have the programs that pay for new housing kept up with an aging country? States and cities are writing multi-sector plans for aging right now. The answers belong in the open. This page is where we put them.

Affordable Housing, capital A and capital H, has a formal name: income-restricted housing. It is built in affordability levels: 30, 50, 60 or 80 percent of the area median income, or AMI, where the home is. A level sets two things at once. It sets the most a household may earn, and the most the home may charge in rent. A lower level means cheaper rent and a lower income limit. Most new homes are built at the 60 percent level.

The ceiling

The most a household may earn and still be eligible.

The published income limit for that household size at that level. Earn more and the household is not eligible. Being over a ceiling does not mean a household is comfortable: at the 30 percent level the ceiling is far below what it costs to live on the open market.

The window

The band in between, where a household can apply.

Enough income to satisfy the property, and not so much that the household is ineligible. Clearing the floor is a ratio, not a verdict on affordability. A household can pass it and still be stretched once medicine, food and everything else is paid.

The floor

The least a household must prove it earns.

Most properties ask applicants to show income of two to three times the rent. That requirement is the floor. Each property sets it, so it varies between buildings on the same street.

A note on these three words, and how they guide your search

Ceiling, floor and window are our words, used across this research and in the interactive tool. HUD calls the ceiling an income limit. The IRS sets a maximum rent. The floor has no official name at all, which is part of the point: it is the one line nobody publishes.

Congress created the housing tax credit in 1986 and it is still the main way income-restricted homes get built. Each state awards the credits. Builders get tax credits, and often low-interest loans, to put up the homes. In return the homes carry limits on rent and on who may live in them, usually for 30 years or more.

HUD publishes the income limits every spring and those are the ceilings, set separately for each household size and each level.

Federal tax law sets the rent at 30 percent of the income limit, spread over a year. Rent is fixed by a table, not by what the resident earns and not by the market.

No federal rule sets a minimum income. The owner or the property manager sets one, usually at two to three times the rent, and that is the floor. Two places have limited it by law: Portland, Oregon caps it at two and a half times the rent, and Colorado caps it at two times, statewide.

Owner or property manager? They are not the same. The owner holds the property and its compliance obligations; a property manager runs it day to day and usually writes and applies the screening criteria. This research says "the property", because the requirement follows the building whoever is administering it.

Example. At the 30 percent level in the Chicago area, the ceiling for one person is $25,530 and the floor is $24,588. An income of $24,852 lands in the window. "Any level" asks whether even one of the four levels has a window this household fits.

The household and the rules · these change the numbers

How the table is shown · these change nothing in the data

Over the ceiling In the window Under the floor
StateRank
of 51
CompositionOver the
ceiling
In the
window
Under the
floor
Any level
in window
Affordable &
available per 100
Potential capacity:
spare bedrooms in 65+ homes
Areas
measured

Being in the window is not the same as finding a home

The availability column counts homes the lowest-income renters can afford and that a higher-income household is not already renting. Nationally there are 65 affordable homes for every 100 of these households. Only 35 are affordable and available. The other 3.4 million are rented by households earning more than the level the home was built for.

That is how these buildings run 97 percent full while the households they were built for are still outside them. A state can look open on the left of this table and still have almost nothing standing empty.

Why we measure this from an older adult's position

This page was designed to present the national landscape. To zoom in to one county or city, one household and one income:

Open Between the Ceiling and the Floor  →

Or view our other research, white papers and tools: Who Can Actually Rent It · The Rooms Already Exist · Housing Capacity Parity · All research

Method, sources and every assumption

What the design assumes, and why the floor exists. Congress set the national goal in 1949: a decent home for every American family. The way the country builds those homes changed in 1986, when the tax credit replaced direct construction as the main engine. The credit pays to build homes. It does not pay to run them. With no money for operating costs, rent cannot rise and fall with a resident's income. It has to be a fixed number, set by a table. A fixed number has to be tested against something, and what properties test is income. The programs that came before worked the other way: public housing from 1937 and Section 202 housing for older adults from 1959 charged residents about 30 percent of whatever they earned and covered the rest, so there was nothing for a floor to test. The result is built around a household whose income can grow to meet a fixed rent. A household on a retirement benefit is measured the same way and meets both lines at once: the levels cheap enough to reach have ceilings a full benefit already passes, and the levels with comfortable ceilings have floors that benefit cannot reach. The floor can be set by law, and two places have done it: Portland, Oregon caps it at two and a half times the rent and Colorado caps it at two times, statewide.

Why this household. We measure the system from the position of an older adult on a fixed retirement income. That is a stated point of view, not a neutral one. Every number on this page comes from published tables and holds for any household at the income shown; choosing which household to follow is the part that belongs to us.

Data vintage. HUD FY2026 income limits, effective 1 May 2026, covering 2,623 income limit areas across the 50 states and the District of Columbia. Social Security benefit figures from SSA, January 2026. NLIHC availability figures from March 2026. ACS capacity figures from the 2023 1-Year sample.

What this page is. An interactive tool for stakeholders: it shows the windows open to a household seeking income-restricted housing, by state, and how those windows change with household size, affordability level, the property's income screen and how areas are counted.

Our words. Ceiling, floor and window are HomeShare America's terms, used to keep this research and the interactive tool speaking the same language. HUD publishes income limits; the IRS sets maximum rents; the floor has no official name.

The household. One person, or a couple, applying for a one-bedroom. The single figure is the Social Security Administration's average monthly benefit for a retired worker, $2,071, which is $24,852 a year. The couple figure is SSA's published average for a retired worker and aged spouse, $3,211 a month or $38,532 a year, after the 2.8 percent cost-of-living raise payable in January 2026. A couple where both partners worked would be nearer $49,728, further above the ceilings again.

State incomes. SSA publishes the average monthly retired-worker benefit for every state in its Annual Statistical Supplement, table 5.J6, December 2025. It runs from $1,890 in Mississippi to $2,286 in New Jersey, a spread of about 21 percent. The national average in that table is $2,071.30, the same figure the brief uses, so each state's income here is that state's ratio to the national average applied to $24,852 or $38,532. Switching the income control to state averages moves two variables at once, income and housing, which is why the national average is the default for comparing states.

The areas. HUD Multifamily Tax Subsidy Project income limits and income averaging tables, FY2026, effective 1 May 2026. Maximum rents are 30 percent of the income limit for an imputed household size over twelve months, under Internal Revenue Code section 42(g)(2), with the imputed size set at 1.5 persons for a one bedroom. The imputed size does not change with the number of people who actually live there, so a couple faces the same maximum rent as one person but is measured against the two-person ceiling.

Rank is the state's position out of the 50 states and the District of Columbia on the share of its areas where any of the four levels is in the window, highest first, at the household, income, level and screen currently selected. It moves when those controls move. "T" marks a tie, and the ties are large: with the floor at three times rent most states sit at zero, so most of the table is tied last.

Areas measured is the denominator behind each percentage. Texas has 214 HUD income limit areas and Delaware has three, so the same percentage carries very different weight, and a state showing 33 percent may be describing a single area. It is also why the page offers a population-weighted view.

The three shares never overlap, and they add to 100 percent of areas at every level and every screen. Over the ceiling means the household income exceeds the published income limit for that household size at that level. Under the floor means it does not exceed the ceiling, but the chosen multiple of the maximum one-bedroom rent, over twelve months, is more than the household income. In the window means neither is true. Figures at a stated multiple are calculated, not observed: no national source for screening multiples exists.

Counted by. "Areas" gives every income limit area equal weight, which is the method behind the published national figures. "Population" weights each area by the 2023 population of the counties it covers, from HUD's FY2026 Fair Market Rent file, and a multi-state metropolitan area contributes only its in-state counties to each state. Population is a proxy for where older renters are, not a count of them.

Affordable and available per 100 comes from the National Low Income Housing Coalition, The Gap: A Shortage of Affordable Homes, March 2026, Appendix A, using 2024 American Community Survey data, for extremely low income renter households of all ages. NLIHC publishes the affordable-and-available figure by state; the affordable-only figure, and therefore the state-level share occupied by higher-income households, is published nationally but not by state.

Potential capacity comes from HomeShare America, The Rooms Already Exist, American Community Survey 2023 1-Year public use microdata. It counts bedrooms minus household members, floored at zero, in owner-occupied homes with a householder aged 65 or over. It is capacity inside occupied homes, not vacant units and not proof any particular room sits empty. It is here because it is the one form of supply neither the ceiling nor the floor applies to.

Older adult figures. Urban Institute and HUD: households headed by or including someone 62 or over are 42 percent of HUD-assisted households, up from 33 percent in 2014. HUD's Annual Homeless Assessment Report: about one in five people experiencing homelessness on a single night are 55 or over. Sheltered homelessness among older adults rose 37 percent between 2019 and 2022 (HUD CoC data, via Urban Institute), and The Emerging Crisis of Aged Homelessness projects the number roughly tripling by 2030. HUD's most recent single year is milder, about 6 percent growth for older adults from 2023 to 2024 against about 18 percent overall, so the multi-year trend and the projection carry that claim rather than any one year. AARP surveys report roughly three-quarters of adults 50 and over prefer to remain in their current home.

Coverage. The 50 states and the District of Columbia: 2,623 of HUD's 2,644 income limit areas. Puerto Rico, Guam, the U.S. Virgin Islands, American Samoa and the Northern Mariana Islands are excluded, because the SSA state averages, the NLIHC availability figures and the ACS capacity figures used here are not published for them. The national figures in the companion briefs include those 21 areas, so a figure here can differ by a few tenths of a point: at the 30 percent level, 92.7 percent over the ceiling either way, and 1.1 percent in the window here against 1.2 percent with the territories included.

Color. Plum is over the ceiling, sage is in the window, coral is under the floor. Magenta is none of the three: it is this page's alarm, used for the count of states with no window at any level and for the callout explaining that being in the window is not the same as finding a home. The three data colors are steps of the HomeShare plum, sage and coral ramps, chosen so that every pair stays distinguishable under the common forms of color-vision deficiency. Every share is also printed as a number, so color never carries the meaning alone.

Every area-level figure is computed in this page from HUD's published tables.

Sources. HUD Multifamily Tax Subsidy Project income limits and income averaging tables, FY2026 · Social Security Administration, average retired-worker benefit and average for a retired worker and aged spouse, January 2026, and Annual Statistical Supplement table 5.J6 · National Low Income Housing Coalition, The Gap: A Shortage of Affordable Homes, March 2026 · HomeShare America, The Rooms Already Exist, ACS 2023 1-Year PUMS. This product uses HUD published data but is not endorsed or certified by HUD.

Cite This Paper

HomeShare America. (2026). The Affordable Housing Landscape, State by State: The Ceiling, the Window and the Floor. https://homeshareoregon.org/research/affordable-housing-landscape/

About HomeShare America

HomeShare America publishes this paper as students of aging, housing, and community infrastructure. We operate one of many possible interventions in the missing middle. We believe the most useful contribution we can make to the larger field is to add a frame and a research agenda, rather than to argue for our particular role within it.

If you are working on related questions, we would like to hear from you. Email the executive director at executivedirector@homeshareoregon.org.